Iran Lied! Continued Nuclear Weapons R&D Going On.
Israel in a surprise move, as a rule, they don’t release classified material due to possible comprising security assets, came out and released information they had collected so the US intel agencies could verify data. The prime minister also alleged that Iran hid its secret weapons files in Tehran, and Israel has obtained 55,000 pages outlining the program along with 55,000 files on 183 CDs, the Washington Examiner reported.
“In 2017, Iran moved its nuclear weapons files to a highly secret location in Tehran,” he added. “Few Iranians knew where it was, very few, and also a few Israelis.”
— Fox News (@FoxNews) April 30, 2018
“The Iran deal, the nuclear deal is based on lies; 100,000 files right here, prove that they lied,” Netanyahu said.
“We’ve shared this material with the United States, and the United States can vouch for its authenticity,” he said, adding that Israel will show the files to the Atomic Energy Agency and the international community.
These revelations follow a Sunday’s claim of an Israeli attack on a military base with Iranian personnel; the secondary explosions show there was something substantial stored on the site. An unknown amount of Iranians were killed in the blast and the second blast of visible secondary blasts for what was stored at the location.
— Danny Makki (@Dannymakkisyria) April 29, 2018
This all comes as President Trump is deciding if he should re-certify the Iranian Nuclear deal or should pull out, by the looks of things, if the material can be confirmed staying in the agreement that Iran is not following would be a waste of time. This deadline looms, President Trump has until May 12 to make a decision one way or the other.
President Trump’s reaction to the evidence claimed to be had by Israel, that has been passed to the US was:
Trump on Israeli PM's claims that Iran violated nuclear deal: "That just is not an acceptable situation." @POTUS says he has yet to decide whether the U.S. will pull out of nuclear agreement with Iran. https://t.co/V38T0PnUBi pic.twitter.com/KoHtpb2DXM
— CBS News (@CBSNews) April 30, 2018
Trump added if he does decide to pull the U.S. out of the deal, “that does not mean we won’t negotiate a real agreement.” He als0 questioned what the world and the US received back for the 1.8 billion in cash and the $150 money transfer that was passed to Iran by Obama with no notification to the congressional leadership.
In response, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani warned the United States would face “grave consequences” if the U.S. withdraws from the deal. He also called for the Muslim world to unite against the US, adding in a tweet on the 26th of this month:
Muslims should stand firmly against the U.S. and other domineering powers’ bullying. If they don’t observe that, they will be humiliated.
— Khamenei.ir (@khamenei_ir) April 26, 2018
This tweet not only included Islamic Middle East States but called for every Muslim to do this.
This was in response to what President Trump said here:
In a typical move by European leaders and their Arab allies, we had a tweet telling us we should stick with this terrible deal, for there was no other deal that was made. It seems the Arabs have no qualm breaking treaties when it suits them, I say we have no reason to stay in one that is so one-sided with little or no benefit to us.
President Macron is correct in saying there's no "Plan B" on JCPOA. It's either all or nothing. European leaders should encourage President Trump not just to stay in the nuclear deal, but more importantly to begin implementing his part of the bargain in good faith.
— Javad Zarif (@JZarif) April 23, 2018
What we have is Iran has been most likely lying to us, they are trying to unite the Muslim world against the US, and now they are pushing Israel trying to set up bases in Syria where their shorter ranged missiles are capable of striking anyplace. At present they have less then 250 Intermediate ranged Missiles that may be able to reach Israel, they know Israel could defend themselves against these, they are trying to set up bases to bring their tens of thousands of missiles to the area to strike at Israel as well, this is in addition to what they have with their proxy Hezbollah.
Iran at the present have the BM-25 with a 2,500 Km range at the most, they have a couple, it is questionable if they even have this operational yet due to problems with testing. There is also a Shahab 4, there is no evidence this has ever progressed past the design stage. While Iran has made fantastic claims of having the Shahab 5 and 6, at this point, there is little evidence any of them are anything other than propaganda. Due to complications of the design, even if they did somehow manufacture them there is of litte concern, they would most likely have less then a dozen.
At 1,789 kilometers distance from Iran, all Iran has at the present they could fire from the closest border at Israel would be Fajr-3, the limited numbers of these missiles going up against Israeli ABM forces would make using this very risky and possibly costly if Israel attacks back in kind, even if they have hundreds, the possibility that Israel would most likely shoot them all down, and they would retaliate in kind makes their use questionable, but as we have learned, nothing is outside the realm of possibility with Iran.
Israel has known 90 Jericho II missiles that are most likely in hardened shelters with nuclear warheads, they would most likely have hundreds set aside with conventional warheads, although it is understood they do have chemical and possible biological warheads as well. These missiles have a range of the Pershing Missiles, which Israel had tried to purchase from the US but was rejected, the Pershing would have no problem striking all of Iran. They also have the Jericho III and the Jericho IV with a range of 4,800 to 6,500 km (2,982 to 4,038 miles).though a 2004 missile proliferation survey by the Congressional Research Service put its possible maximum range at 11,500 km (missile range is inversely proportional to payload mass).
At this time, as we can see by Israel’s reactions, they would rather go to war with Iran now than risk this. Iran will continue to try to play the victim to try to garner support, for they know there is no way they have a prayer if they and Israel go head to head, even if they include Syrian forces in the attack from the Golan and have Hezbollah attack from Lebanon. Russia is not an issue; they know any direct involvement would draw in the US and other Israeli allies in the West.
The US nor Israel, for that matter neither, can any western allies in the Middle East tolerate a nuclear-armed Iran, they have a propensity to pass their weapons to assorted terrorist groups around the world, they sure can’t be trusted to hold securely their nuclear stockpile.
A bad deal is not better than no deal, it is time for the US to relook at the Nuclear treaty, it is also time for us to figure out if we should have Israel’s back, not fight for them, but secure their flank so no one else does against them, then allow Israel to do what they need to do, clear Iran out of Syria.